Building world models for baseball, cricket, tennis, golf, football, basketball and soccer.

Every player deal is a forecast.

Out21 is building foundation models that simulate how athletes move and decide, and play them forward through seasons and careers. We’re building them to create independent research for anyone pricing a contract, a trade, a draft pick or a stake in a team.

Read our thesisSee our v0

Independent research on deals that depend on an athlete’s future value

Contracts, extensions, arbitration, trades, draft picks, loans against future earnings and stakes in teams all depend on a forecast of how a player, or a roster, performs in the seasons ahead. Clubs build their own. The agencies, funds, lenders and insurers in the same deals rarely do, and they have no independent source to turn to.

Most sports data covers players already in the top professional leagues. We’re starting to collect our own on everyone else, including planned pop-up clinics that pay young hitters to take live at-bats.

Our business model

The deals are large, and they’re priced years before the results come in.

  1. $72B+Forbes 2025

    in player contracts represented by the ten largest sports agencies.

  2. $7.1BSportico 2026

    is the average value of an NFL team. The NBA average is $5.5B. Both rose 20% in a year.

  3. 17.6%Baseball America

    of baseball draftees signed from 1981 to 2010 reached the major leagues. Clubs set each one’s price on the day he signed.

More figures in our thesis

Our model plays out every way this batted ball could have gone, next to the way it went.

Our first demo is built on baseball.

v0 is a proof of concept. It simulates a pitcher and a batter one pitch at a time, and shows the range of what could have happened next to what did.

See our v0